Republicans (58 delegates): Rubio is likely to capture urban votes in Nashville and, to a lesser extent, Memphis, to steal away delegates from Trump – who is likely to win statewide, though there has not been as much polling here as in other states.
Other states holding primaries or caucuses on March 1 (although not necessarily for both parties) include Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont and Wyoming.
During the 2012 presidential race, Texas held its primary in May, after the Republican nomination had been locked up by Mitt Romney, and with no one challenging the sitting Democratic president for his party’s nomination. If Clinton can carry her success in SC across the rest of the South and pick off a couple of Sanders’ targets, he’d be hard-pressed to catch her.
Voters from Vermont to Colorado, Alaska to American Samoa, and a host of states in between are heading to the polls and caucus sites Tuesday. FiveThirtyEight has a rundown of the polls in Super Tuesday states, but Trump is generally the favorite in most states. The delegate trove is proportional in each party, and delegates will be divvied up according to how well each contender does.
After a month of “early state” contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, “Super Tuesday” – the biggest day of voting in the 2016 primary – has arrived. Marco Rubio, hit Trump hard at the GOP debate on February 25.
Super Tuesday is here, and as the presidential race goes national, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are hoping to put themselves way ahead. A candidate can win all of the delegates at stake by capturing 85 percent of the vote in a district – a high bar, but one that might be possible for Clinton in some heavily minority state Senate districts.
What makes a delegate super?
At the time of press deadline, the Associated Press predicted Ted Cruz to win Oklahoma and his home state of Texas.
Super Tuesday has been a part of the primary calendar since 1984, although the earliest usage of the term traces back to the presidential primaries four years earlier. Trump also won in MA, and Clinton in Texas. If that happens, it will be one of the most exciting contests in American history, in a year that looked rather tiresome and drab initially. And the rules for the GOP and the Democrats sometimes differ even in the same state. This cycle, Texas deliberately moved up to Super Tuesday, seeking outsized influence on still-competitive nomination races. That way, he explained, the two can try and carve a path to the nomination through OH and Florida, which are winner-take-all contests, with 66 and 99 delegates respectively.
On Super Tuesday, 595 Republican delegates are up for grabs.
Virginia is an open primary, and registered voters can vote in either primary.
Trump’s Republican opponents have one last weapon that could help prevent him from becoming the party’s nominee: data.
Forty percent of Democratic voters would like to see President Barack Obama’s policies continued but 42 percent would like to see more liberal policies enacted, according to the exit polls. Ted Cruz are trying to stop billionaire businessman Trump while Bernie Sanders seeks to prevent Clinton from getting a sizeable delegate lead. And there are two ways a candidate can win them.
The numbers for the Democrats – Hillary Clinton has 1,033 (576 of those are superdelegates) of the delegates pledged to her of the 2,382 needed to win the nomination.